From Tea Houses to TikTok: The Matcha Surge Reshaping Japan’s Economy

MACROECONOMIC

Fatima Madani

8/21/20253 min read

green powder and spoon on board
green powder and spoon on board

In Japan’s quiet tea houses, matcha has been prepared for centuries with ritualistic precision, a bright green powder whisked into frothy bowls during ceremonies that celebrate mindfulness. Today, that same powder is trending on TikTok, where the hashtag “MatchaTok” has amassed tens of millions of views. Influencers film the careful pour of hot water, the swift motion of a bamboo whisk, and the final emerald foam that has become a symbol of wellness and aesthetics online.

This viral rise has transformed matcha into more than a drink. It is now a global commodity with consequences for trade, agriculture, and consumer markets. Behind the soothing image of a cup of matcha lies a more complex story of soaring demand, fragile supply, and economic strain.

A Social Media Boom and Cultural Shift

Matcha’s transformation into a global trend is inseparable from social media. On TikTok and Instagram, influencers have reinvented the centuries-old drink as part of the wellness lifestyle, touting its antioxidants, steady caffeine release, and vibrant color. The visual appeal has made it the perfect content for short-form videos, propelling its popularity far beyond Japan.

This online frenzy coincides with Japan’s post-pandemic tourism boom. Tourists flock to Kyoto’s Uji region, renowned for its high-quality matcha, often leaving shelves bare within hours. Tea shops have resorted to purchase limits, allowing customers to buy just one tin at a time. In effect, matcha has shifted from a cultural ritual to a global consumer product, its demand outpacing what traditional producers can supply.

Supply Struggles and Rising Prices

Producing authentic matcha remains a labour-intensive process. Tea leaves are shaded for weeks before harvest, carefully handled, and slowly ground on stone mills that produce only about 40 grams an hour. This delicate craft cannot be easily scaled, yet demand has surged to unprecedented levels. Cafés in the United States now request kilos of matcha daily, an amount growers struggle to provide.

Climate change adds another layer of pressure. Record-breaking heatwaves have hit Japan’s tea-growing regions, reducing harvests. The country’s aging farming population further threatens long-term supply, as fewer young people enter the trade. With both natural and demographic constraints, shortages have become unavoidable.

As a result, prices have climbed steeply. Tea masters in Tokyo report matcha costs rising by 30 percent in a single year. Importers in the United States say supplies that once lasted a month now disappear in days. The strain has even led the Global Japanese Tea Association to urge consumers to use lower-grade matcha for cooking and save ceremonial-grade powder for traditional use.

Global Trade and Economic Implications

The matcha boom is not just a cultural phenomenon but an economic one, now tangled in geopolitics. Washington’s recent decision to impose a 15 percent tariff on Japanese tea imports threatens one of Japan’s fastest-growing exports. U.S. distributors scrambled to stockpile supplies ahead of the deadline, with orders surging by more than 70 percent.

For Japan, the stakes are high. Green tea exports, including matcha, rose 25 percent last year to reach 36.4 billion yen ($250 million). For American consumers, tariffs mean higher prices and scarcer supplies, as there is no domestic matcha industry to fall back on. The move underscores how global trade disputes can disrupt even niche cultural goods.

Despite the risks, the market continues to expand. Influencer-backed brands in Tokyo and minimalist matcha cafés in Los Angeles are thriving, while Japan’s government encourages larger-scale tea farming to reduce costs. Yet producers warn that industrialization could undermine the very authenticity that makes premium matcha valuable. With tea plantations down to a quarter of what they were two decades ago, sustainability remains an open question.

Conclusion

From the tatami mats of Kyoto to TikTok feeds in New York, matcha has become a cultural and economic symbol of globalization. It has boosted Japan’s exports, energized rural economies, and secured a place in Western wellness culture. Yet its future is uncertain. Climate shocks, demographic decline, and trade tariffs cast long shadows over an industry that depends on fragile supply chains and centuries-old traditions.

The viral matcha craze shows how quickly tradition can be reshaped by digital culture. But whether this green wave endures or fades as another online trend will depend on Japan’s ability to balance heritage with global demand, and on how much the world is willing to pay for its newest obsession.